LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7
The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come with announcement victories into this Saturdays game.
LSU beat against the Longhorns and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. But during this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams look to take over a top-four spot in the race into College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the way in their opinion. Theyve given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and have not given up a stage from the 4th quarter since their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into making bad decisions since he went 11 with three INTs.
But Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback and has led LSU to the offensive start in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in college soccer. This contains the 45 they dropped on the road on Texas.
As underdogs around BetNow , the Gators come in Together with Death Valley awaitings roar. Would the No. cover the spread and 5 shield keep this close? Or will Burrow and win the wager and also the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling? Heres the complete breakdown.
There is very little doubt in the ability of Burrow . He has converted into a Heisman candidate, acquiring an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
He is also working with one of the very best getting teams in the nation. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame and has mastered in some big games. Chase is a existence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal that can fill the area. Its all part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face undoubtedly the toughest DB unit they have played all season. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by the additional competitions of LSU: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits at 33rd, although its safe to say theyve yet to perform a QB of all the standard of Burrow. They have played with FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a ton of havoc in the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but has a ceiling.
Burrow will even face a, which will be healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami on the introductory week. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as very best is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) about the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate on their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing defensive lineup Even though his consciousness must enhance from the pocket. Auburns according is arguably the finest in the country, and ranks 11th in defensive lineup yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and will be 85th in bag speed. They will rely on blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not portable outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and also sprained a knee.
With the LBs more involved from the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit should produce big in coverage. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is considered DBU for the gift they possess on their defenses outside. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him around the All-Freshman group, or even longer, in 2019.
On the other side of him will be out of all returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, who allowed the least amount of first downs last year. Itll be given a chance against a pressured Trask though this group is in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, who has not got their running game this season, going. A tackle broke at the line on his approach last weekend. Even with this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th in line yards and will be going up from the No. 1 d-line concerning power success (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be potent. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the floor, and that is like Perines long run and a 76-yard receiver sweep that closed out the Kentucky game.
It places ways pressure on Trask in a hostile environment if they dont buy Dameon or Perine Pierce going consistently.
Florida has earned respect from the school football world. And while I do not expect them to come out in Death Valley with a win against LSU, I really do see this game staying than most.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is one of the QBs from the FBS. But LSU isnt going to install 45 or anything close to this against a defense who is proven at all three levels. Their pass-rush has evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
Since the staff has relied on them much too much to alter the wave in games, the Gators defense will wear out with time. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject from Jefferson or the physical Chase into some late-game PIs.
However, I do not anticipate this before late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the game in enough of a slog until afterward makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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